
In the meantime, he will designate somebody to lead the talks and reach out to the different parties. Will it be someone from the left? Will it be someone from the centre? Will it be a political outsider? We do not know.
What seems certain though is that France is about to enter a more parliamentary system.
Power will drain from President Macron, and towards whoever heads the new government.
Even if he manages to place a centrist in the prime ministership (far from easy, given the strength of the left) that person will exercise power in his or her own right, and on the basis of parliamentary support.
Macron – with no prospect of running again in 2027 – will be a diminished figure.
So has the president lost his bet? Is he regretting his haste in calling the elections? Is he ready to take a backward step?
We can be sure that is not the way Macron sees it. He will be saying that he called the vote because the situation was untenable; that he has clarified politics, offered the RN a fairer share of Assembly seats, given their widespread support; and that his gamble that the French would never put the far-right in power was correct.
And in the meantime, he has not exactly gone away. Macron’s power may be on the wane. But he is still there at the Elysée, consulting with his team, prodding politicians, still master of the political clock.
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