Michigan voters say access to abortion outweighs their personal opposition
WARREN, Mich. — Two voters in Michigan who cast primary ballots today told NBC News that while they’re opposed to abortion, they still think access is necessary.
Dave Schultz, who said he voted for Haley to “stop Donald Trump,” said he is personally against the procedure but believes women should have access.
“I’m a faithful Catholic and against abortion and things like that,” he said. “But I got to think of what’s best for everybody.”
He added, “God gave us free will and free choice, and there are situations that could impact a certain person’s life.”
Charlotte Mack, 63, who said she voted for Biden, said a top issue she thinks about when she votes is “being able to let women make their own decisions about their bodies even though I don’t condone that.”
Mack said she is personally anti-abortion “because, in my opinion, it is a life,” but she added that “under certain circumstances, sometimes it has to be done.”
“It’s still our bodies, and we should be able to make our own decisions as far as when it comes to abortions and so forth and so forth,” she said.
‘Uncommitted’ vote tally could exceed 100K, Michigan Democrat says
DEARBORN, Mich. — A Michigan Democratic source told NBC News about projecting an “Uncommitted” vote tonight that could surpass 100,000 votes, far beyond what the “Listen to Michigan” campaign organizers have set as their expectation.
The local Democratic official, who supports Biden, said that the projection is based on information from the voter file, public absentee ballot information and partisan models — and that it is not exit polling.
The source said such a result could translate to 10% to 12% of the Democratic votes cast here today. While significant, the source noted, it would mirror the result — on a percentage basis — from the Democratic primary in 2012, when Barack Obama was also largely unopposed.
The source cited particularly strong turnout for “Uncommitted” not just in Dearborn, but also in Ann Arbor, home to the University of Michigan. The source expected a sizable enough vote in the 12th Congressional District to translate into delegates to the Democratic National Convention.
The source said that if the projections bear out, it will point to the need for Biden’s campaign to ramp up its focus in November on issues like reproductive rights, which was a proven vote-getter for Democrats here in the 2022 midterms.
NBC News has reported on the expectations game by both “Uncommitted” backers and the Biden campaign, which has noted that 20,000 votes has been the norm in the last several contests.
In 2020, “Uncommitted” earned more than 4% of the vote in the GOP primary, in which Trump was largely unopposed.
The same source said the data also showed that voters backing Haley in the Republican primary today reflects a strong Trump protest vote that the source sees as likely Biden voters in November — especially based on turnout in Kent and Oakland counties, among voters they see as having supported Biden in 2020 and Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer in her successful 2022 re-election campaign.
Haley campaign official sets low bar for ‘significant’ showing in Michigan
In the lead-up to results out of Michigan, a Haley campaign official suggested that if she gets garners just 10% of the Republican vote today, it will signal there’s an “appetite for Trump alternative within the GOP.”
The official, Olivia Perez-Cubas, drew comparisons to the “uncommitted” effort on the Democratic side, saying that “even 10% of votes going to ‘uncommitted’” will be “significant” and that the same metric should be used when gauging Haley’s performance.
As a point of comparison, Haley won just shy of 40% of the vote in the South Carolina Republican primary, to Trump’s nearly 60%. She also won 43% of the vote in New Hampshire, behind Trump’s 54%.
The Haley campaign also argues that Trump has had years of campaigning in Michigan and that Haley has been “at this” for just two days in the state.
Obama-to-Trump voters in Michigan say the economy played a key role
WARREN, Mich. — Raymond Wynn, 39, is an auto mechanic for General Motors who voted for Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012 and then voted for Trump in 2016 and 2020. He just cast his 2024 primary ballot for Trump.
Wynn told NBC News he was motivated to switch from a Democratic candidate to a Republican one because of the economy and “how the industries were doing.”
“Specifically, I work for the auto industry,” Wynn said, “so foreign trades with metal and goods and services, that was, like, my biggest thing.”
Deborah Gates, who also voted for Obama and then Trump, said she cast her ballot today for the former president. Gates told NBC News the reason she went from Obama to Trump was “the economy and just security of our country just overall.”
She said “the open border” and “the cost of living” was a factor in her decision to swing from Obama to Trump.
Both voters indicated they have greater faith in Trump than Biden on the economy, putting them in good company with poll respondents who have said the same.
Why Trump wins independents in polls while struggling with them in primaries
Trump is winning his primaries handily and has a virtual lock on the Republican presidential nomination — but a common interpretation of the results says that he is also exhibiting profound weaknesses among independents that portend dire general election consequences.
But there’s a hitch. A look at general election polling reveals a completely different story among independent voters — and a dive into all the other data we have on the 2024 presidential race shows why Trump’s poor independent numbers in the primary and better performance in general election polls are completely consistent with each other. The short answer: These are two very different groups of voters.
Read the full story here.
Rep. Tlaib sends robocalls urging protest votes in Michigan
Democratic Rep. Rashida Tlaib sent robocalls to 87,000 people today in her home state of Michigan urging them to vote “uncommitted” in the primary.
According to a transcript, Tlaib called on voters to make the protest vote “to send a clear message to President Biden: Change course on Gaza, pursue peace, save lives, and win back the trust of the voting coalition who got him to the White House in 2020.”
The calls were made in conjunction with the progressive political organizing group Our Revolution.
Biden has faced increased pressure from progressives to call for a cease-fire in the Israel-Hamas war. He said yesterday that he hopes there will be a temporary cease-fire at the start of Ramadan, which is set to begin March 10.
Tlaib, the only Palestinian American in Congress, was censured last year over her remarks and actions in response to the Oct. 7 attack by Hamas.
Michigan has been ahead of the political curve lately
One thing to consider tonight as we wait to see how Biden fares against “uncommitted” in Michigan: The state over the last decade has had a way of predicting the political future.
Sen. Bernie Sanders’ surprise victory over Hillary Clinton in Michigan’s 2016 Democratic primary was a harbinger of Trump’s win there that fall and a sign that the “blue wall” Midwest states that had favored Barack Obama were tilting the other way.
Gretchen Whitmer’s election as governor in 2018 signaled that Democrats were clawing their way back. In 2022, Michigan voters made their state one of the first to constitutionally protect abortion rights in the post-Roe v. Wade era. Whitmer cruised to a second term that year as Democrats won a so-called trifecta — control of the executive, legislative and judicial branches of state government — for the first time since the 1980s.
But there’s one nagging worry for Michigan Democrats: Biden. Polls there have shown him slightly trailing Trump in the general election. The concerns involve issues of intense local interest, from challenges facing the auto industry to anger over Biden’s handling of the Israel-Hamas war. Then there are the constant questions about Biden’s age.
State Sen. Mallory McMorrow, a rising Democratic star in Michigan, spoke favorably of Biden in an interview last week with NBC News, while also acknowledging that the age factor is something “you can’t ignore.”
“It’s going to be a choice between an old man who makes very similar gaffes, who is a narcissist, who is frankly advocating for authoritarianism when he gets back the White House — or an older man who makes gaffes, who at his heart is a decent person and has surrounded himself with … the youngest, most diverse Cabinet we’ve ever seen,” McMorrow said of Trump and Biden.
“If I were him — and I’m not, but if I were, I would really draw that stark contrast,” McMorrow added, referring to Biden. “Donald Trump is somebody who has told people that ‘I alone can do this.’ And the contrast on the Democratic side is that we are a team. Michigan is a perfect example, being now a Democratic trifecta for the first time in 40 years, we are a success story that the president and the party can lean on to show what’s possible.”
No Labels launches TV ad pushing House GOP on border deal
No Labels, the political organization looking to mount a potential 2024 presidential ticket, is launching a new television ad across the country on Wednesday — but instead of targeting the presidential race, the group is pressing Republican House Speaker Mike Johnson to bring up for a vote in the House a proposed bipartisan package that would provide funds for U.S. border security as well as financial aid for Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan.
“Contact Speaker Johnson — tell him to allow a vote,” the ad’s narrator states about the proposed Defending Borders, Defending Democracies Act.
A spokesperson for No Labels said the group is spending $750,000 to air the spot. It will also air in Washington, D.C.
Johnson has so far declined to bring the package up for a vote, nor has he brought to the House floor a separate Senate-passed $95 billion bill that would have provided the Israel and Ukraine aid.
The ad asserts that the bill addresses “America’s bipartisan checklist,” noting its funding for additional border security and aid to Ukraine and Israel. It features statements by members of the House Problem Solvers Caucus, Reps. Jared Golden, D-Maine, and Brian Fitzpatrick, R-Pa. The two members are co-sponsors of the package.
The ad states: “We can’t afford partisan gridlock or D.C. business as usual. The good news: There is a bipartisan group in Congress with a new plan that will put America’s resources right where they’re needed.”
Detroit man says he’s voting ‘uncommitted’ because of Biden’s age, not Israel-Hamas war
Marvell Miller, 67, says he voted “uncommitted today,” not because he’s upset with the Biden administration’s handling of the Israel-Hamas war, but because he feels the president is too old and inept.
“Biden is a little too old. Trump is too far-right extreme,” said Miller, who cited Biden flubbing his lines as to why he believes he’s too old for the presidency. He also cited Trump’s abortion policies and called them too extreme.
Miller said he believes people support Trump because of the entertainment value, not necessarily because of his policies. He also said the Israel-Hamas war has no bearing on his “uncommitted” vote; he’s just frustrated with the options at hand.
If Trump and Biden are the only options come November, Miller said he’ll vote “uncommitted” again.
Gallup Poll: Immigration tops list of Americans’ concerns
The latest Gallup Poll shows immigration is now at the top of Americans’ list of the most urgent problems facing the country — with inflation concerns receding.
According to Gallup’s survey, 28% of respondents named immigration as their top concern in February, compared with just 20% in the month prior, surpassing “the government” as the most-cited problem.
Gallup’s poll showed Republicans were largely responsible for the increase in concerns over immigration in February, with 57% of Republicans naming immigration as the top problem, up from 37% in January. Among independents, 22% cited immigration as the most important problem, up from 16% in January. There was no meaningful change among Democrats (9% in January and 10% in February).
Meanwhile, 11% of Americans said inflation was their top concern, down from 13% last month. That reflects other data showing the pace of price increases in the economy slowing. Inflation was the fourth most-cited concern in the monthly poll.
Concerns about the “economy in general” were the third most-cited problem, though the response rate was unchanged compared to last month at 12%.
Thirty-two percent of Americans said the economy is improving, the highest figure Gallup has measured since September 2021. Views on the economy remained deeply polarized by party, with Democrats having an economic confidence level of +24 compared with -63 among Republicans and -29 among independents.
Why we could be in for another Election Week in November
After the 2020 presidential election took days to call, many states reworked how they process mail ballots with the goal of delivering results faster — and cutting off oxygen for conspiracy theories that flourished as the country waited for results.
Election officials are optimistic that the 2024 vote count will be smoother without the many challenges the pandemic election of 2020 posed to officials. But in the event of a close race, a handful of key battleground states could keep Americans waiting well beyond Election Day yet again to learn who will be president for the following four years.
Clerks in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — two of the most closely divided states in the 2020 election — still will not be able to process any mail ballots prior to Election Day, despite efforts of state lawmakers to change the rules. That means there could again be a massive pileup of absentee ballots to sort through in those states Nov. 5, along with the in-person vote.
And in North Carolina, a battleground state that has leaned Republican at the presidential level, changes to the state’s voter ID law and early voting process could slow the count.
While longer waits for results are not a sign of problems, experts warn they can be spun that way — as Donald Trump and his allies did in 2020.
Read the full story here.
‘Uncommitted’ voter cites Biden’s Israel policy and ‘desire for peace’
BLOOMFIELD TOWNSHIP, Mich. — Laila, of suburban Oakland County, Michigan, came to vote with her mother today and is among those casting a ballot for the “uncommitted” option in protest of Biden’s support for Israel.
She hopes the protest votes in today’s primary election will pressure the Biden administration to publicly support a cease-fire in Israel’s war against Hamas.
“What made us come out and vote today, I think, is the desire for peace, the desire to put pressure on the current administration for a cease-fire, because we want peace for everybody around the world regardless of their faith and their race,” Laila said. “And so I think for the Arab American population and everybody in support of peace, I think today is, it’s dire that we make it out to the polls today.”
Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson assured reporters that primary voting in the state was “going smoothly” and answered a question on some Democrats potentially selecting “uncommitted” on their ballot.
Gaza conflict and candidates’ ages spur protest votes in Michigan
At Dearborn High School in the Arab American enclave of Dearborn, Michigan, several voters told NBC News this morning that they voted “uncommitted” to send a message to the Biden administration. They expressed their frustration with the administration not calling for a cease-fire in Gaza.
“We feel like he’s been telling us and acting like he’s hearing us, but I don’t believe he’s hearing us based on actions,” one voter told NBC News.
In addition, some voters here who consider themselves independents said they cast their ballot this morning for Nikki Haley because they are concerned about the age of both Biden and Trump.
“They’re too old. We need a younger generation who have different ideas than the older generation,” another voter said.
Meanwhile, a sizable number of Haley voters in a suburb of Grand Rapids say they cast their ballots as a protest against Trump, with some of them considering themselves closer to the Democratic Party while others identify closer to independents or moderate Republicans.
GOP candidate Ryan Binkley suspends presidential campaign
Long-shot GOP presidential candidate Ryan Binkley suspended his campaign Tuesday morning and endorsed former President Donald Trump.
“I am suspending my campaign for the presidency of the United States of America and offering my endorsement and unwavering support for President Trump,” Binkley announced on his X account.
Despite claiming to have visited all of Iowa’s 99 counties and pouring millions of dollars of personal money into his presidential bid, Binkley bows out of the race with 0 pledged delegates. The Texas pastor and businessman with no prior political experience ran on a platform focused on restoring America’s inner cities and strengthening public education.
But his message failed to resonate in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina, encumbered by low name recognition.
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