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Nigel Farage’s decision to run means turbulence for the Tories

The test for Nigel Farage on a personal level will be whether this election is finally the time that he gains influence from within parliament itself, or whether he must continue to shape it from the outside.

He clearly feels he has a shot at becoming an MP. Clacton is a seat that voted heavily to leave the EU. Its former MP Douglas Carswell defected to UKIP in 2014, when Nigel Farage was party leader. Mr Farage’s Brexit Party did not field a candidate there in 2019 as part of an election strategy to not split the Brexit-supporting vote, allowing the Conservatives to win a safe majority there.

Winning a seat will still be a challenge.

He used his speech on Monday to argue the election result is already a foregone conclusion and that he believes Labour will win. He sees this now as a race to shape the opposition in the next parliament, and he clearly intends to shape the future of the Conservative party in the UK.

As a member, or even leader one day? As ever with Nigel Farage, you can’t really ever rule anything out. As he made clear in his speech, he’s not afraid of changing his mind.

The other candidates announced as standing in Clacton so far are:

Giles Watling, Conservative Party

Jovan Owusu-Nepaul, Labour Party

Matthew Bensilum, Liberal Democrats

Natasha Osben, Green Party

A full list will be published on the BBC News website after nominations close on Friday


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