Liverpool or Arsenal? What the stats say about the Premier League title race

Liverpool’s performance against Wolves on Sunday was hardly one to set the pulses racing.

They were good value for their two-goal lead at half time – thanks to a Luis Diaz finish and a Mohamed Salah penalty – but after the break it was struggling Wolves who were the better side.

This was the first time on record (since 2003-04) that Liverpool failed to attempt a shot in the second half of a Premier League game at Anfield, according to Opta.

In fact, it was the first time in this period that the Reds went an entire half of football without attempting a shot in a home league match.

But Liverpool boss Arne Slot was happy to see his side show they are able to win in different ways.

“We had to show a different mentality, which we did and got it over the line,” he told BBC Match of the Day.

“In a season like this we have played so many great games, but in a season if you want to win something you have to win the difficult ones as well when you are not playing your best.

“If you want to achieve something it is not only about bringing the ball out from the back or Mo scoring goals, it is also about defending.”

Opta’s supercomputer predicts Liverpool to win the Premier League pretty comfortably and has them to finish on 87 points, seven clear of Arsenal.

The statisticians give them an 87.65% chance of winning the title, with the Gunners on 12.35%. Every other team has been given 0% chance of finishing first.