Susan Bain, NTS manager for St Kilda, said the study warned that in the future the trust would face increasingly difficult challenges managing the archipelago.
She said: “Warming sea temperatures are already impacting on the food chain for the hundreds of thousands of seabirds who breed here each summer, and some species are at risk of disappearing from St Kilda forever.
“Changing currents could compound this even further, fundamentally changing the habitats and with that the types of birds that can thrive here.”
A 2023 count of four seabird species suggested numbers had declined overall by 61%.
Ms Bain said stormier weather could damage historic properties on Hirta and make it harder for staff, volunteers and tourists to visit the islands.
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